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This does not sound good at all. The NBA is heading for a crash course.According to an official memo, as reported by SI.com and found via Rob Mahoney, the new CBA will use either NBA starts or minutes played to determine the rookie qualifying offer given to certain players:
Any first round draftee who hits one of two benchmarks — either 41 games started per season or 2000 minutes played per season — in the two seasons preceding the qualifying offer will now receive the amount that goes to players taken with the 9th pick.
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It’s very easy to imagine scenarios in which coaches and management decide to withhold minutes or starts to young players in order to secure a cheaper qualifying offer. For example, what if a player is a few starts short of the threshold with only a few games to go in the season? Why wouldn’t the team prevent the player from starting in order to save a few bucks?
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The players would like the chance to increase their pay given better performance. Of course, like the All-Star and All-NBA team provisions, these rules won’t apply to very many players, and in fact the scenario that is most likely to occur is the demotion of draftees taken in the top 15 picks.
For example, five members of the 2007 draft class — Yi Jianlian, Brandon Wright, Acie Law, Julian Wright, and Al Thornton — would have been demoted under the new system. But the new rules would only benefit five players — Jared Dudley, Wilson Chandler, Aaron Brooks, Aaron Afflalo, and Marc Gasol (a second round pick) — and NBA teams would gain more from the demotions than the players would gain from hitting the benchmarks.