Divisional Round: Baltimore @ New England Prediction Thread

Who wins?


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BwareDWare94

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Saturday, 4:35 ET, NBC
 
Baltimore Ravens (6) @ New England Patriots (1)
 

Why Baltimore Will Win:
 
1. Flacco's Transfiguration
You watch Joe Flacco in the regular season and you wonder why he's being paid like a top 5 quarterback when he's barely top 10. January and February roll around and he turns into a fire-breathing dragon who is simply unstoppable. For 3 straight postseasons, this transformation has occurred. While his game against Pittsburgh wasn't overwhelmingly good, division battles can always be ugly. Will he play well against New England?
 
2. Nasty Front 7
Baltimore's defensive strength might play into New England's offensive weakness. If the Baltimore front 7 can frustrate Tom's offensive line and take away New England's running game, it makes New England one dimensional and the Ravens can drop into coverage. Anything is possible.
 
Why Baltimore Will Lose:
 
1. Stagnant Offense
There's always the possibility that Flacco doesn't completely morph into his recent postseason self, and the Ravens early game offensive issues continue, in which case the Patriots could pile too many points on for the Ravens to recover.
 
2. Secondary Comes Back to Earth
The Ravens secondary has been their defensive weakness this season, and while they've been playing better of late, there's still the possibility that Tom Brady calls them back down to earth.
 

Why New England Will Win:
 
1. Offensive Outburst
There are so many reasons that the Patriots could drop 30+ on Baltimore, even if it is unlikely. All things considered, it wouldn't surprise me if this game resembles the Baltimore/New England game near the end of last season, the game that put to dust that Baltimore team's playoff hopes. Like last season, the Patriots are significantly better than the Ravens
 
2. Great Secondary
Obviously, Baltimore loves to run the ball, but if they can't throw effectively, this game is all but over. I don't know if Darrelle Revis will be trailing anybody in particular in this game, as the Ravens simply do not have a real #1 threat, but the combination of him and Brandon Browner, along with two safeties who may be playing over their heads, could put a damper on any hope Baltimore has of winning this game.
 
Why New England Will Lose:
 
1. Baltimore Has Their Number
Something doesn't bode well for the Ravens when the one thing analysts and fans keep pointing to as evidence that they can win is a completely incalculable phenomenon that is vaguely described and in no way quantifiable. We could point out scores from their recent playoff history, but those are completely different teams, teams that involved Ray Lewis, the good Ray Rice, et al. 
 
2. Struggle With Baltimore's Front 7
This may be a cop out reason, considering I pretty much already said it as a reason that Baltimore will win, but if the Patriots are going to lose this weekend, it will be due to Suggs, Dumervil, Smith, Ngata, Canty, and company. It's all very very possible.
 
Prediction: Patriots 31 Ravens 20
 
I can't really envision this Ravens team playing with this Patriots team. They're a couple more pieces away from getting back into contention mode. It's going to be a long, long Saturday evening Baltimore and their fans.
 
 

Pugz

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jesus flacco
 

bosoxlover12

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MY RAVENS AT PATRIOTS MATCHUP ANALYSIS
 
QB: Advantage New England. 
Joe Flacco is a very good playoff quarterback, and he does have the better deep ball out of the two. But Tom Brady is still Tom Freaking Brady. The guy is an NFL legend, and has had a great season so far. Never count out Tom Brady, ever. 
 
RB: Advantage Baltimore
New England has had a fairly successful runningback-by-committee approach this year, with Vereen, Blount, and Gray, but Baltimore definitely has the strength here. Forsett is a 1000 yard rusher, and if the Pats can’t stop the run, they will have a very hard time winning.
 
WR/TE: Advantage New England. 
The two Smiths have had very good years, and are talented players, but Revis will take away one of them, and Brandon Browner has been great this season to match up on the other. Gronkowski is the best tight end in the league, and will be extremely hard to stop. And LaFell, a candidate for most improved player on the team, has proven to be a viable target for Tom in addition to Edelman and Gronk.
 
OL: Advantage Baltimore. 
Rick Wagner’s injury at RT is a very solid loss, as it forces Marshal Yanda, the best G in the league, to RT. But between Yanda, Zuttah, and Osemele, they still have the better core line.
 
Pass Rush: Advantage Baltimore. 
Nate Solder has not been looking great this year, and Suggs and Dumervil are both All-Pro edge rushers. This isn’t really close of a comparison, although a healthy Chandler Jones will give Hurst a hell of a time at LT.
 
Run Defense: Advantage Baltimore 
The Patriots run defense is much improved now, with Chandler Jones healthy, and the LB duo of Hightower and Collins have been fantastic in all facets of the game this year. But the Ravens haven’t allowed a 100 yard rusher in 27 games! Both of these units seem super strong.
 
DB: Advantage New England. 
If the Pats can shore up the run defense, Baltimore will have a really hard time in the passing game. Darrelle Revis is still shuts down his opposition, and Devin McCourty up top in centerfield will limit some of the deep passes from Flacco. Browner is extremely physical, and hopefully he can beat up Smith and not get burned on double moves. Ravens’ Rashaan Melvin has had a breakout 2014 season, and can offer a good bit as a #2 corner, but he really has not faced a ton of competition. LaFell will be a hard matchup for him.
 
Coaching: Advantage New England. 
John Harbaugh is no slouch. One of the best coaches in the league, easily. But Belichick is easily the best, and it really isn’t close.
 
 
Prediction: New England 27, Baltimore 13
 

Teagz

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Ravens 24
Patriots 20
 

elcheato

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I'll roll with James Flacco
 

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