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From:Realgm.com
Jeff Risdon/RealGM - Round 1
1. St. Louis Rams: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma.
Just thinking out loud here...Either the Rams decide he’s the franchise QB they need and take him, or else the Redskins like Bradford enough and are nervous enough that STL will take him that they deal up to get him. Would #4 overall, Jason Campbell, and a 2nd next year get it done?
2. Detroit Lions: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska.
I get a different answer every day as to which DT the Lions prefer--McCoy or Suh. There is an emerging school of thought that the team would like to slide back a few spots and take an offensive tackle, but I’m not buying it. Yet.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma.
Easiest pick in the draft to forecast: it’s either Suh or McCoy, whichever doesn’t go at #2. If they’re both somehow gone, it’s Eric Berry time.
4. Washington Redskins: Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State.
I get the sense they’re not enamored enough with Jimmy Clausen to take him here, certainly not when they have no idea who will be playing at either tackle spot. Okung would have been the 5th-best tackle last year, but he’s the best in this lower-ceiling-but-much-deeper tackle class.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Berry, S/CB, Tennessee.
They need playmakers all over the field, and Berry is a dynamic secondary presence with versatility and a flair for the dramatic. He will sit atop some teams’ overall draft boards.
6. Seattle Seahawks: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson.
New coach Pete Carroll gets his answer for Reggie Bush, only Spiller has shown he’s more consistently tough between the tackles. His speed and playmaking potential are simply too good for him to fall, and the Seahawks need a big infusion of both on their offense.
7. Cleveland Browns: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame.
Thinking out loud, part two...In trading for Seneca Wallace, new GM Mike Holmgren brought in a veteran mentor that can teach his offense to a rookie QB, and Clausen comes from a pro-style offense and has the rhythm and touch that are requisites. Brady Quinn still has some trade value and potential, but he’s clearly not the choice of Holmgren or coach Mangini, and Clausen helps close the door on the Phil Savage era. Or they trade for Troy Smith and take Joe Haden here...
8. Oakland Raiders: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech.
I had Bruce Campbell penned in here like most people, but I changed it on account of my belief that Al Davis is crazy but not stupid. He’s watched opposing QB set up shop and pick apart a pretty good secondary because his front seven can’t get any pressure, and they can’t stop the run very well either. Surely he knows that an eventual 10.5-sack, 70 tackle-a-year end will help more than yet another project tackle, right? Jason Pierre-Paul is a bigger physical freak, but a little birdie tells me Mr. Davis favors the more prominent program guy.
9. Buffalo Bills: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers.
He’s too physically gifted to pass here; his ceiling is Ryan Clady-esque, and the Bills cannot afford to watch him become that good somewhere else, even if he never fulfills that potential with them. Thinking out loud, part three...I know they like Jimmy Clausen, and dangling this pick and Donte Whitner to the Browns just might get him.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan.
Signing Aaron Kampman was a good start, but this team needs more overall pressure than just one guy can provide. Enter Graham, who bears a strong resemblance on tape to Dwight Freeney but has the athleticism to play some 3-4 OLB should the Jags make a regime and scheme change.
11. Denver Broncos (from CHI): Joe Haden, CB, Florida.
Haden is the top cover corner by a wide margin, though his poor showing at the Combine might be enough to drop him to Denver, which greedily laps him up to help overhaul their antique defense that faded badly down the stretch. True story: I watched a Florida game early in his freshman year with a veteran NFL scout, and he said back then that Haden would be the first corner taken in whatever draft he decided to enter.
12. Miami Dolphins: Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State.
The Dolphins have made no secret of their desire to get a legit big-play receiver, and they haven’t hidden their admiration for Bryant either. I had Rolando McClain penned in here even after the Dansby signing, but Parcells has never shied away from taking a chance on big receivers with questionable attitudes and it’s their primary need to boot.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa.
He’s a great fit for the Niners, who already have a good young LT in Joe Staley but badly need help on the right side. Bulaga has the traits of a very good RT--rough, strong, good leverage, big punch.
14. Seattle Seahawks (from DEN): Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida.
One of Coach Carroll’s hallmarks, both at USC and during his prior NFL days, was pressure defense. Seattle lacks a dynamic edge presence, and JPP has the physical potential to become a dominant NFL pass rusher. He will need some time to develop, but too many people believe his ceiling is too high to see him fall much further than here--even if it’s not Seattle making this pick.
15. New York Giants: Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama.
Every Giants fan dream scenario plays out, and the G-Men get a serious thumper in the middle to replace Antonio Pierce. Consider this his absolute floor, even with his disclosure of Crohn’s Disease. If he’s gone I know they like Dan Williams, though a little birdie tells me they would have a hard time passing on Mike Iupati too.
16. Tennessee Titans: Brian Price, DT, UCLA.
Price bears a similarity to former Titan Albert Haynesworth--at times an unstoppable interior force, at times a prickly ho-hum space-eater. Jeff Fisher knows how to handle that, and Price interviewed very well at the Combine to help mitigate those worries.
17. San Francisco 49ers (from CAR): Tim Tebow, QB, Florida.
Two reasons why I believe the Niners make this pick here. First is that they know Alex Smith is not the long-term answer at QB. Second is that Coach Singletary is a noted sucker for the hyper-religiosity, and to be able to get a Christian icon to lead his team just makes too much sense. Note that is only half tongue-in-cheek and directed more at Singletary than Tebow. I do not believe Tebow falls out of the first round.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma.
I talked to a Steelers staffer at the Combine and he made it clear: they will upgrade the OL this offseason. Seeing as how the free agent pickings are slim to none, that means the draft. Williams has great athleticism yet fits best as a right tackle, an important attribute for a team with a QB that loves to roll to his right.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Sergio Kindle, LB, Texas.
Kindle fits the bill for a pass-rushing OLB with the ability to play in space. For those who question his capacity to get off blocks, YouTube Kindle destroying Jermaine Gresham. That play was a topic of conversation in Indy that involved a Falcons coach, and he got a little too excited about it.
20. Houston Texans: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State.
I like how Arian Foster finished the season for them and I know they do too, but Mathews has the potential to be a legit feature back and big-play runner. Their secondary is finally set, though a wideout here wouldn’t surprise me either.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona.
The injury risk is hanging over his head, but Gronkowski is a perfect fit for the Bengals’ punchless pass offense. Signing Antonio Bryant eases (in their minds) the need for a wideout, but TE remains a huge void. He can block, he can catch over the middle, and he can run after the catch. Cincy hasn’t had a TE like that since Rodney Holman, or really Bob Trumpy.
22. New England Patriots: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech.
Thomas has drawn comparisons to Randy Moss, though I’m not entirely sure how anyone could make that assertion based on his limited body of work. In any case, he’s got great physical tools and the Patriots desperately need more capable young wideouts. As with every draft, the odds the Patriots actually select in their original draft slot is around 10%, so except a deal.
23. Green Bay Packers: Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland.
The Workout Wonder fits well for Green Bay, which brought back Chad Clifton to buy another (half) season while they develop a replacement. As I’ve said before, when Campbell is hot, he’s absolutely incredible, but he needs to bring it much more consistently.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State.
Because the Eagles always take a lineman early, and Odrick has versatility to play either DT spot or even slide to end in 3-man fronts. A trade involving one of their 3 starting-caliber QBs leaves this pick very open for movement.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Earl Thomas, S, Texas.
The Boldin trade mitigated the need to reach for a wideout here, which means they can address the other pressing need: the secondary. Thomas eased concerns about his build in Indy, and his ability to both cover and step up and play in the box are a great fit for the Ravens.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri.
Another pick where the team waits about four seconds before submitting the selection to the Commish. Spoon is rangy and a tackling machine, and he’s more physically built than often credited. His versatility to play any LB spot is very attractive for a mix/match defense that Arizona runs.
27. Dallas Cowboys: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State.
Nobody plays bigger for their size than Wilson, an aggressive press corner used to playing on an island. He doesn’t lack for confidence or speed, which endears him to Jerry Jones.
28. San Diego Chargers: Jahvid Best, RB, California.
I didn’t believe anyone thought Best was really a legit 1st round pick until I found out at the Combine just how highly regarded he is, even after the nasty concussion. He flew past others up the RB draft board with both his impressive workout and his impressive interviews, not unlike Donald Brown a year ago.
29. New York Jets: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee.
They’ll be lucky to see the big man fall this far, but it happened to work in this scenario. Gritty run-stuffer with a good football IQ and a high motor, just what Coach Ryan loves for his defense.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho.
By far the best player available in terms of overall grade, and they just happen to need help on the OL. Getting Steve Hutchinson to mentor him for a couple of years could very well lead to another perennial Pro Bowler in Iupati.
31. Indianapolis Colts: Charles Brown, T, USC.
Scouts are all over the board on Brown, a converted TE that is still learning the finer points of technique and lacks the anchor strength of most tackles. Sounds a lot like Tony Ugoh, the man he’d be replacing here, but Brown has more natural ability to mold and has better feet.
32. New Orleans Saints: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida.
It wouldn’t surprise me to see him drop a lot further, but it only takes one team to fall in love with the 5 plays a game where Dunlap is Superman to take him in the first round. A team with a strong lovker room like the Saints is more likely to take the risk.
Round 2
33. St. Louis Rams: Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois
34. Detroit Lions: Rodger Saffold, T, Indiana
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
36. Washington Redskins: Colt McCoy, QB, Texas
37. Kansas City Chiefs: Ricky Sapp, LB, Clemson
38. Seattle Seahawks: Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
39. Cleveland Browns: Dominique Franks, CB, Oklahoma
40. Oakland Raiders: Jared Veldheer, T, Hillsdale
41. Buffalo Bills: Everson Griffen, DE, USC
42. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from CHI): Nate Allen, S, South Florida
43. Miami Dolphins: Taylor Mays, S, USC
44. New England Patriots (from JAX): Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU
45. Denver Broncos: Geno Atkins, DT, Georgia
46. New York Giants: Jason Worilds, OLB/DE, Virginia Tech
47. New England Patriots (from TEN): Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
48. Carolina Panthers: Tony Pike, QB, Cincinnati--their first pick nets them a potential franchise QB, something they simply cannot pass up. The fact they’re shedding talent left and right buys Pike some time to develop and learn the offense with little pressure.
49. San Francisco 49ers: Perrish Cox, CB/RS, Oklahoma State
50. Kansas City Chiefs (from ATL): Aaron Hernandez, TE, Florida
51. Houston Texans: Corey Wootton, DE, Northwestern
52. Pittsburgh Steelers: Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State
53. Cincinnati Bengals: Chad Jones, S, LSU
54. New England Patriots: Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech
55. Green Bay Packers: Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
56. Philadelphia Eagles: Dekoda Watson, LB, Florida State
57. Baltimore Ravens: Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
58. Arizona Cardinals: Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers
59. Dallas Cowboys: Vlad Ducasse, G, UMass
60. San Diego Chargers: Lamarr Houston, DT, Texas
61. New York Jets: Carlton Mitchell, WR, South Florida
62. Minnesota Vikings: Thaddeus Gibson, DE/OLB, Ohio State
63. Indianapolis Colts: Arthur Jones, DT, Syracuse
64. New Orleans Saints: Donald Butler, LB, Washington
Round 3
65. St. Louis Rams: John Jerry, G/T, Ole Miss
66. Detroit Lions: Dexter McCluster, RB/WR, Ole Miss
67. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State
68. Kansas City Chiefs: Damian Williams, WR, USC
69. Washington Redskins--used in supplemental draft
70. Oakland Raiders: Ryan Perriloux, QB, Jacksonville State
71. Philadelphia Eagles (from SEA): Jerome Murphy, CB, South Florida
72. Cleveland Browns: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
73. Buffalo Bills: Daryl Washington, LB, TCU
74. Miami Dolphins: Cam Thomas, DT, North Carolina
75. Jacksonville Jaguars: Eric Norwood, LB, South Carolina
76. Chicago Bears: Jeromy Miles, S, UMass. Under-the-radar prospect that absolutely leapt off game film when looking at teammate Vlad Ducasse. Great size, great tackler, good field sense and range--exactly what the Bears need on the back end.
77. New York Giants: Amari Speivey, CB, Iowa
78. Tennessee Titans: Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB, Indiana PA
79. Carolina Panthers: Tyson Alualu, DE, California
80. San Francisco 49ers: Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford
81. Denver Broncos: Matt Tennant, C, Boston College
82. Houston Texans: Morgan Burnett, S, Georgia Tech
83. Pittsburgh Steelers: Austen Lane, DE, Murray State
84. Atlanta Falcons: Taylor Price, WR, Ohio
85. Cincinnati Bengals: Mardy Gilyard, WR/RS, Cincinnati
86. Oakland Raiders (from NE): Sean Lee, LB, Penn State
87. Green Bay Packers: Jamar Chaney, LB, Mississippi State
88. Philadelphia Eagles: Montario Hardesty, RB, Tennessee
89. Arizona Cardinals (from BAL): Koa Misi, LB, Utah
90. Arizona Cardinals: Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas
91. San Diego Chargers: Kyle Calloway, T, Iowa
92. Dallas Cowboys: O’Brien Schofield, DE, Wisconsin
93. Cleveland Browns (from NYJ): Alex Carrington, DE, Arkansas State
94. Minnesota Vikings: Tony Moeaki, TE, Iowa
95. Indianapolis Colts: Joshua Moore, CB, Kansas State
96. New Orleans Saints: Charles McCoy, TE, USC
Round 4
97. St. Louis Rams: Mike Johnson, G, Alabama
98. Detroit Lions: Kam Chancellor, S, Virginia Tech
99. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jermaine Cunningham, LB, Florida
100. Kansas City Chiefs: Jimmy Graham, TE, Miami FL
101. Washington Redskins: Myron Rolle, S, Florida State
102. Seattle Seahawks: Torrell Troup, DT, South Florida
103. Cleveland Browns: Chris Cook, CB/S, Virginia
104. Oakland Raiders: Devin Ross, CB, Arizona
105. Buffalo Bills: Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU
106. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonathan Crompton, QB, Tennessee
107. Chicago Bears: Jeff Byers, C/G, USC
108. Miami Dolphins: Brandon Lang, DE/OLB, Troy
109. Tennessee Titans: A.J. Edds, LB, Iowa
110. Carolina Panthers: Jeremy Williams, WR, Tulane
111. San Francisco 49ers: Major Wright, S, Florida
112. Denver Broncos: Perry Riley, LB, LSU
113. New York Giants: Ted Larsen, C, North Carolina State
114. Pittsburgh Steelers: Linval Joseph, DT, East Carolina
115. Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Owens, DT, Georgia
116. Houston Texans: Jacoby Ford, WR, Clemson
117. Cincinnati Bengals: Sherrick McManus, CB, Northwestern
118. New England Patriots: Reshad Jones, S, Georgia
119. Philadelphia Eagles: Jon Asamoah, G, Illinois
120. Green Bay Packers: Dmitri Nance, RB, Arizona State
121. New York Jets (from BAL and ARI): Kion Wilson, LB, South Florida
122. Arizona Cardinals: Levi Brown, QB, Troy
123. Dallas Cowboys: Ed Wang, T, Virginia Tech
124. San Diego Chargers: Larry Asante, S, Nebraska
125. Philadelphia Eagles (from NYJ): Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss
126. Minnesota Vikings: Dan Lefevour, QB, Central Michigan
127. Indianapolis Colts: Marshall Newhouse, G, TCU
128. New Orleans Saints: Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama
