2010 NFL Mock Draft, Version 7.0 (Pre-Combine)

[Big Bid'Ness]

From:Realgm.com

Jeff Risdon/RealGM -


Notes:

--I’m not buying the talk about a QB going first overall at all. In fact, I’m not buying that this group of QBs is going to litter the upper reaches of the draft as in most years, and the slotting in this one reflects that notion.

--When I talk to scouts on teams regarding wide receivers, they want three qualities: speed, great hands, and nimble feet in that order. That’s good news for some, very bad news for others, and that plays out here.

--I’m doing some digging on the impact of injuries that force players to miss the Combine workouts, and there are two distinct trends: offensive skill position players fall at least 50% of their projected draft spots (i.e. a player projected at #40 falls to at least #60) outside of potential top 5 picks, while guys in the trenches seldom fall more than a handful. There are variables regarding type and severity or injuries, with the general rule of thumb being the lower on the body, the more it hurts the draft stock. It’s not ironclad but thus far I’ve gone back 5 years and have nearly 50 samples, so it’s not without some statistical merit either. This is very bad news for Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Jahvid Best, Dan Lefevour, and perhaps even Jimmy Clausen.

--The deeper into the draft, the more you should focus on the player and slot than the team picking in that slot. I expect a very heavy trade market in this draft beyond the top 8-10 picks (which nobody wants to trade up into and get hit with the last giant rookie contract bill!), particularly from picks 45-80 and then again at the top of each subsequent round.

--There are instances where I have a team doubling up on a position even in the first three rounds. Before you get all uppity, keep this in mind: in the last 4 drafts, 30 of the 32 teams have taken multiple players at one position in the same draft class. The Colts, Eagles and Patriots do it with shocking regularity and they are three of the most successful franchises in the league.

--As always, please do not mistake the selections here for the selections I would make in the same situations. Sometimes they mesh, often they don’t. This is my best educated guess as to what the teams will do. Teams don’t even have their draft boards or positional rankings finalized yet, so no matter what anyone tells you remember that all mock drafts are pure speculation at this point. If you want to know how I wear my GM hat, I post an annual “What I Would Do” mock draft the week after the Combine.

Round 1

1. St. Louis Rams: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
2. Detroit Lions: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
4. Washington Redskins: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State
6. Seattle Seahawks: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers
7. Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden, CB, Florida
8. Oakland Raiders: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
9. Buffalo Bills: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan
11. Denver Broncos (from CHI): Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
12. Miami Dolphins: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
13. San Francisco 49ers: Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa
14. Seattle Seahawks (from DEN): Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
15. New York Giants: Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
16. Tennessee Titans: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
17. San Francisco 49ers (from CAR): Brian Price, DT, UCLA
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
19. Atlanta Falcons: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho
20. Houston Texans: Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois
22. New England Patriots: Sergio Kindle, LB, Texas
23. Green Bay Packers: Earl Thomas, S/CB, Texas
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
25. Baltimore Ravens: Aaron Hernandez, TE, Florida
26. Arizona Cardinals: Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland
27. Dallas Cowboys: Jared Odrick, DL, Penn State
28. San Diego Chargers: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State
29. New York Jets: Ricky Sapp, LB, Clemson
30. Minnesota Vikings: Tony Pike, QB, Cincinnati
31. Indianapolis Colts: Rodger Saffold, T, Indiana
32. New Orleans Saints: Everson Griffen, DE, USC

Round 2

33. St. Louis Rams: Colt McCoy, QB, Texas
34. Detroit Lions: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
36. Washington Redskins: Vlad Ducasse, G, UMass
37. Kansas City Chiefs: Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona
38. Seattle Seahawks: Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
39. Cleveland Browns: Corey Wootton, DE, Northwestern
40. Oakland Raiders: Trent Williams, T, Texas
41. Buffalo Bills: Tyson Alualu, DE, California
42. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from CHI): Chad Jones, S, LSU
43. Miami Dolphins: Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
44. New England Patriots (from JAX): Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
45. Denver Broncos: Jason Worilds, OLB, Virginia Tech
46. New York Giants: Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State
47. New England Patriots (from TEN): Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
48. Carolina Panthers: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
49. San Francisco 49ers: Taylor Mays, S, USC
50. Kansas City Chiefs (from ATL): Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU
51. Houston Texans: Dominique Franks, CB, Oklahoma
52. Pittsburgh Steelers: Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State
53. Cincinnati Bengals: Arthur Jones, DT, Syracuse
54. New England Patriots: Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
55. Green Bay Packers: Jared Veldheer, T, Hillsdale
56. Philadelphia Eagles: Jahvid Best, RB, California
57. Baltimore Ravens: Thaddeus Gibson, OLB/DE, Ohio State
58. Arizona Cardinals: Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers
59. Dallas Cowboys: Donald Butler, LB, Washington
60. San Diego Chargers: D’Anthony Smith, DT, Louisiana Tech
61. New York Jets: Mardy Gilyard, WR, Cincinnati
62. Minnesota Vikings: Kendrick Lewis, S, Ole Miss
63. Indianapolis Colts: Alex Carrington, DE, Arkansas State
64. New Orleans Saints: Nate Allen, S, South Florida

Round 3
65. St. Louis Rams: Dezmon Briscoe, WR, Kansas
66. Detroit Lions: Dexter McCluster, WR/RB, Ole Miss
67. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Perrish Cox, CB, Oklahoma State
68. Washington Redskins: used in supplemental draft
69. Oakland Raiders: Jarrett Brown, QB, West Virginia
70. Kansas City Chiefs: Jermaine Cunningham, LB, Florida
71. Philadelphia Eagles (from SEA): Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
72. Cleveland Browns: Daryl Washington, LB, TCU
73. Buffalo Bills: Dan Lefevour, QB, Central Michigan
74. Miami Dolphins: Cam Thomas, DT, North Carolina
75. Jacksonville Jaguars: Austen Lane, DE, Murray State
76. Chicago Bears: John Jerry, G/T, Ole Miss
77. New York Giants: Jeromey Miles, S, UMass
78. Tennessee Titans: Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU
79. Carolina Panthers: Geno Atkins, DT, Georgia
80. San Francisco 49ers: Chris Cook, CB, Virginia
81. Denver Broncos: Amari Speivey, CB, Iowa
82. Houston Texans: Matt Tennant, C, Boston College
83. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jimmy Graham, TE, Miami FL
84. Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Owens, DT, Georgia
85. Cincinnati Bengals: Morgan Burnett, S, Georgia Tech
86. Oakland Raiders (from NE): Carlton Mitchell, WR, South Florida
87. Green Bay Packers: Dekoda Watson, LB, Florida State
88. Philadelphia Eagles: Larry Asante, S, Nebraska
89. Baltimore Ravens: Mike Williams, WR, Syracuse
90. Arizona Cardinals: Micah Johnson, LB, Kentucky
91. San Diego Chargers: Tony Moeaki, TE, Iowa
92. Dallas Cowboys: Jeff Byers, G/C, USC
93. Cleveland Browns (from NYJ): Anthony Dixon, RB, Mississippi State
94. Minnesota Vikings: Jon Asamoah, G, Illinois
95. Indianapolis Colts: Sean Lee, LB, Penn State
96. New Orleans Saints: Rennie Curran, LB, Georgia

Round 4
97. St. Louis Rams: Selvish Capers, T, West Virginia
98. Detroit Lions: Pat Angerer, LB, Iowa
99. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Lamarr Houston, DT, Texas
100. Washington Redskins: Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford
101. Kansas City Chiefs: Koa Misi, LB, Utah
102. Seattle Seahawks: Jerome Murphy, CB, South Florida
103. Cleveland Browns: Charles Brown, T, USC
104. Oakland Raiders: Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama
105. Buffalo Bills: C.J. Wilson, DE, East Carolina
106. Jacksonville Jaguars: Myron Lewis, CB, Vanderbilt
107. Chicago Bears: Major Wright, S, Florida
108. Miami Dolphins: Anthony McCoy, TE, USC
109. Tennessee Titans: Mike Neal, DT, Purdue
110. Carolina Panthers: Jonathan Crompton, QB, Tennessee
111. San Francisco 49ers: Joe McKnight, RB, USC
112. Denver Broncos: Hall Davis, DE, Louisiana Lafayette
113. New York Giants: T.J. Ward, S, Oregon
114. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ed Wang, T, Virginia Tech
115. Atlanta Falcons: Myron Rolle, S, Florida State
116. Houston Texans: Devin Ross, CB, Arizona
117. Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Roberts, WR, The Citadel
118. New England Patriots: Linval Joseph, DT, East Carolina
119. Green Bay Packers: Jason Fox, T, Miami FL
120. Philadelphia Eagles: Clifton Geathers, DE, South Carolina
121. Baltimore Ravens: Eric Decker, WR, Minnesota
122. Arizona Cardinals: Ryan Perriloux, QB, Jacksonville State
123. Dallas Cowboys: Brandon Ghee, CB, Wake Forest
124. San Diego Chargers: Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB, Indiana PA
125. New York Jets: Damian Williams, WR, USC
126. Minnesota Vikings: Eric Norwood, LB, South Carolina
127. Indianapolis Colts: J.D. Walton, C, Baylor
128. New Orleans Saints: E.J. Wilson, DE, North Carolina